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winston's avatar

Once you have an isolated community, like Gains county Amish for example, they can only acquire a disease by transmission from an external source. Measles was introduced to Gaines either by a known statistical fluke in the vaccines themselves or by exposure to unvaccinated "migrants" passing through. It is a fine thing to be warned of disease outbreak happening in Texas that is endemic in Mexico and Central America, when those places are probably the source.

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Jack Beavers's avatar

As of 2022, there were 74,122 Mennonites living in Mexico.

If the measles were transmitted to the Gaines County Mennonite Communities from Mexico, it is more likely that came from one of their own members versus "unvaccinated migrants passing through."

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winston's avatar

Agree for the most part. The thing is that most of those communities are isolated. Sure, they do travel between communities, and the Gaines county Russian Mennonite communities originated, in North America, from their “original” immigration points in Mexico. But each group is largely quarantined, not only from the locals, but from one another.

Before the outbreak, there was a vaccine drive on in the area. For most people, other than those with a religious exemption, there is a high rate of acceptance. There is no reason for a “drive” except to target those who have not been vaccinated and who also do not choose a religious exemption.

The real, legacy, approved vaccine has something like a 0.2% rate of causing mild cases of the disease. Persons thus infected are just as much spreaders as the unvaccinated cases.

For a quarantined and vulnerable community, only small rates of exposure to unvaccinated people are necessary for an outbreak like this. In my comment, I wrote that there were two possible sources, and the large, mostly transient populations of unvaccinated, legal or illegal are potential carriers for either means of infection.

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